Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001576 0.001737 0.001898 0.002072 0.002253 0.002435 0.002633
2025-02-16 0.001377 0.001619 0.001869 0.002145 0.002438 0.002740 0.003073
2025-02-23 0.001072 0.001363 0.001674 0.002025 0.002409 0.002812 0.003264
2025-03-02 0.000853 0.001181 0.001542 0.001963 0.002432 0.002933 0.003503
2025-03-09 0.000699 0.001056 0.001464 0.001951 0.002504 0.003103 0.003794
2025-03-16 0.000591 0.000975 0.001428 0.001980 0.002618 0.003318 0.004134
2025-03-23 0.000502 0.000908 0.001402 0.002017 0.002737 0.003537 0.004476
2025-03-30 0.000418 0.000837 0.001364 0.002035 0.002833 0.003728 0.004786
2025-04-06 0.000339 0.000761 0.001316 0.002036 0.002904 0.003888 0.005060
2025-04-13 0.000270 0.000693 0.001270 0.002035 0.002972 0.004041 0.005324
2025-04-20 0.000214 0.000633 0.001231 0.002040 0.003042 0.004196 0.005589
2025-04-27 0.000166 0.000578 0.001192 0.002042 0.003107 0.004343 0.005842
2025-05-04 0.000136 0.000551 0.001192 0.002093 0.003233 0.004564 0.006185
2025-05-11 0.000124 0.000553 0.001233 0.002198 0.003425 0.004863 0.006618
2025-05-18 0.000069 0.000455 0.001122 0.002099 0.003363 0.004860 0.006701
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000390 0.001052 0.002051 0.003361 0.004926 0.006862
2025-06-01 0.000020 0.000350 0.001019 0.002049 0.003417 0.005060 0.007100
2025-06-08 0.000011 0.000330 0.001015 0.002088 0.003522 0.005252 0.007407
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000313 0.001015 0.002131 0.003632 0.005450 0.007721
2025-06-22 0.000001 0.000290 0.001002 0.002154 0.003716 0.005616 0.007996
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000262 0.000977 0.002157 0.003773 0.005749 0.008231
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000235 0.000951 0.002159 0.003828 0.005877 0.008460
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000211 0.000929 0.002165 0.003887 0.006010 0.008694